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Prof. Dr. Felix Schönbrodt

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Category: Statistics

By nicebread / Posted on2018-11-14

Gazing into the Abyss of P-Hacking: HARKing vs. Optional Stopping

by Angelika Stefan & Felix Schönbrodt Almost all researchers have experienced the tingling feeling of suspense that arises right before they take a look at long-awaited data: Will they support their favored hypothesis? Will they yield interesting or even groundbreaking Continue Reading …

By nicebread / Posted on2017-06-01

Correcting bias in meta-analyses: What not to do (meta-showdown Part 1)

tl;dr: Publication bias and p-hacking can dramatically inflate effect size estimates in meta-analyses. Many methods have been proposed to correct for such bias and to estimate the underlying true effect. In a large simulation study, we studied which methods do Continue Reading …

By nicebread / Posted on2017-05-09

Assessing the evidential value of journals with p-curve, R-index, TIVA, etc: A comment on Motyl et al. (2017) with new data

Recently, Matt Motyl et al. (2017) posted a pre-print paper in which they contrasted the evidential value of several journals in two time periods (2003-2004 vs. 2013-2014). The paper sparked a lot of discussion in Facebook groups [1][2], blog posts Continue Reading …

By nicebread / Posted on2017-01-17

Two meanings of priors, part II: Quantifying uncertainty about model parameters

by Angelika Stefan & Felix Schönbrodt This is the second part of “Two meanings of priors”. The first part explained a first meaning – “priors as subjective probabilities of models”. While the first meaning of priors refers to a global Continue Reading …

By nicebread / Posted on2017-01-10

Two meanings of priors, part I: The plausibility of models

by Angelika Stefan & Felix Schönbrodt When reading about Bayesian statistics, you regularly come across terms like “objective priors“, “prior odds”, “prior distribution”, and “normal prior”. However, it may not be intuitively clear that the meaning of “prior” differs in Continue Reading …

By nicebread / Posted on2016-06-21

Introducing the p-hacker app: Train your expert p-hacking skills

Democratizing p-hacking: Leveling the playing field by teaching p-hacking to students and early career researchers. Continue Reading …

By nicebread / Posted on2016-04-15

Optional stopping does not bias parameter estimates (if done correctly)

tl;dr: Optional stopping does not bias parameter estimates from a frequentist point of view if all studies are reported (i.e., no publication bias exists) and effect sizes are appropriately meta-analytically weighted. Several recent discussions on the Psychological Methods Facebook group Continue Reading …

By nicebread / Posted on2015-11-03

What’s the probability that a significant p-value indicates a true effect?

If the p-value is < .05, then the probability of falsely rejecting the null hypothesis is  <5%, right? That means, a maximum of 5% of all significant results is a false-positive (that’s what we control with the α rate). Well, Continue Reading …

By nicebread / Posted on2015-08-25

Best Paper Award for the “Evolution of correlations”

I am pleased to announce that Marco Perugini and I have received the 2015 Best Paper Award from the Association of Research in Personality (ARP) for our paper: Schönbrodt, F. D., & Perugini, M. (2013). At what sample size do Continue Reading …

By nicebread / Posted on2015-04-17

Grades of evidence – A cheat sheet

There are at least three traditions in statistics which work with a kind of likelihood ratios (LRs): the “Bayes factor camp”, the “AIC camp”, and the “likehood camp”. In my experience, unfortunately most people do not have an intuitive understanding Continue Reading …

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